Rivalry Week Bracketology

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This week’s initial CFP rankings reveal is below. I’ve also added the results for each team to ensure we keep an idea of how teams are trending. This week was unfortunately a relatively boring week, mainly a result of many of the top SEC teams playing buy games.

RKTEAMRECORDWeek 13’s Result
1Ohio State10-0W – Rutgers 42-9
2Indiana11-0BYE
3Texas A&M10-0W – Samford 48-0
4Georgia9-1W – Charlotte 35-3
5Texas Tech10-1BYE
6Ole Miss10-1BYE
7Oregon9-1W – USC 42-37
8Oklahoma8-2W – Missouri 17-6
9Notre Dame8-2W – Syracuse 70-7
10Alabama8-2W- Eastern Illinois 56-0
11BYU9-1W- @ Cincinnati 26-14
12Utah8-2W – Kansas State 51-47
13Miami8-2W – @ Virginia Tech 34-17
14Vanderbilt8-2W – Kentucky 45-17
15USC8-2L – @ Oregon 37-42
16Georgia Tech9-1L – vs. Pitt 42-28
17Texas7-3W – Arkansas 52-37
18Michigan8-2W – @ Maryland 45-20
19Virginia9-2BYE
20Tennessee7-3W – @ Florida 31-11
21Illinois7-3L – @ Wisconsin 27-10
22Missouri7-3L – @ Oklahoma 6-17
23Houston8-2L – TCU 17-14
24Tulane8-2W – @ Temple 37-13
25Arizona State7-3W – @ Colorado 42-17
ELIMINATION TRACKER: 

We didn’t have much change this weekend as many teams played low-level matchups or were on byes!

My bracket projection is the header image for this article, and I have updated the elimination tracker below!

Conference SEC (4)Big Ten (3)ACC (1) Big 12 (1) G5 (1)IND (1)
Playoff FrontrunnerTexas A&M
Georgia
Ole Miss
Indiana
Ohio State
Oregon
Miami (FL)Texas TechJMUNotre Dame
BubbleAlabama
Oklahoma
Michigan
Virginia
BYU
Utah
South Florida
North Texas
Memphis
So you’re telling me there’s a chance:Texas
Vanderbilt
Louisville
Duke
SMU
Georgia Tech
Navy

As you can tell, I only have 11 bids mentioned in the header of the chart. That’s because it is genuinely a toss up for that last spot. Right now, the committee is leaning towards Alabama, but there are multiple scenarios that could see someone else jump in. If Michigan beats Ohio State this weekend, I don’t see how they aren’t either in or very close. If BYU wins the Big 12 championship, they’re obviously in, but I would lean Texas Tech over Alabama in that scenario. I highly doubt Texas or Vanderbilt get in the playoff, but there are chaos scenarios that could see either of them jump up and into the field. For the ACC, technically 6 teams could still get in the championship game, so I have all 6 listed, but it’s only a 1 bid league.

This week seemed to provide very little by way of updates. USC is the only team I removed completely from a multi-bid league. I also wanted to remove Georgia Tech, as that loss was brutal and I now find it hard for them to make it, but I will dive into why they stay shortly.

For the ACC, I have no idea what to make of this conference. I am confident it’s going to be a 1 bid league based off of the initial releases, but I have no idea how it’s going to play out. 

Championship Game Scenarios:
SEC Championship:

Georgia:

  • Auburn Beats Alabama OR Texas beats A&M OR three way tiebreaker

Texas A&M:

  • Win and in OR Auburn and Mississippi State winning

Alabama:

  • Beat Auburn, AND Texas beats A&M OR Mississippi St Beats Ole Miss
  • Beat Auburn, win tiebreaker if both Ole Miss and Georgia win based off of SEC opponent winning %

Ole Miss:

  • Beat Miss State, Texas and Auburn win
  • Beat Miss St and win the 3 way tie breaker

Tiebreaker Procedure (Per cbssports) link

Big 10 Championship: (Per: cbssports LINK

4 teams alive:

Indiana:

  • Win and in.

Ohio State:

  • Win and in

Michigan:

  • Beat OSU AND Oregon beats Washington
  • Would be in via tiebreakers

Oregon:

  • Beat Washington AND Michigan beats OSU
Big 12 Championship: (Per: Desered News Link)

4 teams alive: BYU, Texas Tech, Arizona State and Utah

BYU:

  • Beat UCF and you’re in

Texas Tech:

  • Beat WVU and you’re in

Arizona State:

  • Beat Arizona, and BYU Loss (tiebreaker would go to ASU)

Utah:

  • Only get in if BYU wins, Utah beats Kansas, Arizona State beats Arizona and WVU beats Texas Tech
ACC Championship

Virginia: Controls their fate

  • In with a win or a Pitt loss. UVA plays Virginia Tech, Pitt plays Miami.
  • Reminder – the NC State game for UVA was non-conference (thanks realignment)

SMU: Controls their fate

  • In with a win over California OR a Pitt loss to Miami

Pitt:

  • Beat Miami AND one of SMU or UVA need to lose. SMU

Miami:

  • In with a win over Pitt AND a Duke Loss to Wake Forest OR a Virginia Tech win over UVA

Georgia Tech:

  • Virginia loss to Virginia Tech AND SMU loss to Cal

Duke:

  • Beat Wake Forest AND Pitt loss to Miami OR SMU loss to California

The screenshots below are from Greenville News. Link

I tried to simplify as much as I possibly could! With that, there will be a ton of chaos and @bracketNKY will have all of the updates on Saturday as things change!

Drop your thoughts on what the College Football Playoff Rankings will be on Tuesday in the comments below!

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