Welcome to the MLB Bid-Watch! Think of this as the exact same kind of thing as the NCAA tournament bid-watches so many different companies put out, just for the MLB!
Tiers:
Projected playoff team: similar to a lock in college basketball. Once a team is placed into this category they will stay at this level or move up once they clinch.
Likely Playoff Team: a team that is on a good path to make a playoff spot, think like 70-95% to make the playoffs.
Main Bubble: The team who could really go either way. 30-70% chance they make the playoffs.
Fringe Bubble: These teams have work to do to make it, so something needs to change quickly. 10-29% chance they make the playoffs.
Barely Breathing: 1-9% chance they make the playoffs. “So you’re saying there’s a chance”.
Not mathematically eliminated: exactly as it sounds. Not happening, but waiting for them to be officially eliminated.

